An informative array of sports statistics itself doesn't have great value if you do not know how to extract really useful information from it and draw correct conclusions. Here are the main factors, that require special attention while working with sports statistics.
Current Form
The current form of the team is an abstract but very important concept. It includes the combined conditions of the team's players and their motivation for the game. From match to match, these factors change periodically. At this time the team plays at the peak of their conditions and after a while there comes a recession.
When we evaluate the results of the previous six matches of the team, we try to deduce some average understanding of its current form. It's easy to get confused. If a team demonstrates excellent results from match to match, we can conclude that it is in good or very good shape. Wanting to bet on this team, we are considering two options: a) players will also be in good conditions before next match, and b) the team was at its peak for a few matches, it means the period of recession may come soon. Experienced players have the golden rule: "If a trend is observed in team's results then the match is better to play on the continuation of this trend." So in our case, we assume that in the upcoming match the team will hold a high level. Again, this formula works only if the team shows an extremely good form in the previous six games. If the shape of the team is far from the peak, then other factors need to be evaluated (such as the coach, tournament problems, etc.)
One-time Factors
These include weather conditions, the absence of key players (injuries, suspensions), and the debut of a new coach. These factors cannot be estimated from previous games. The needed information can be obtained from news, weather forecasts, dedicated websites and so on. What conclusions can be drawn about the impact of one-time factors? Suppose we know that it will be rainy the day match is scheduled. Find the last 5-6 matches that were played in rainy weather and track results. In practice, it's very hard to do if you don't keep detailed statistics on all matches. It is better not to waste time and efforts, and be guided by the general estimates specific to each factor.
Field Factor
Evaluating the results of teams in the last six games, it is important to consider where and with whom the team was playing these matches. There are teams that appear more confident in their own stadiums, and others on the contrary feel free and more productive as a result. If the difference in the home and away performances of the team is not significantly different then the field factor for this exact team does not really matter.
Robert Dunn is a contributor at BonusBonusBonus - the most comprehensive gambling portal online, where you can find insightful information on the topic of online sports betting.
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